{"id":1101,"date":"2010-03-18T14:09:30","date_gmt":"2010-03-18T18:09:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/?p=1101"},"modified":"2010-03-18T14:09:30","modified_gmt":"2010-03-18T18:09:30","slug":"march-madness-and-operations-research-2010-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/2010\/03\/18\/march-madness-and-operations-research-2010-edition\/","title":{"rendered":"March Madness and Operations Research, 2010 Edition"},"content":{"rendered":"

Normally I do a long post on operations research and predicting the NCAA tournament.\u00a0 I did so in 2009<\/a>, 2008<\/a>, 2007<\/a> and even in 2006<\/a> (when I think I made blog entries with an IBM selectric typewriter).\u00a0\u00a0 This year, I will cede the ground to Laura McLay of Punk Rock Operations Research<\/a>, who has a very nice series of OR related entries on the NCAA tournament (like this post<\/a> and the ones just previous to it).\u00a0 I’d rather read her work than write my own posts.<\/p>\n

That said, perhaps just a comment or two on Joel Sokol (and his team)’s LRMC<\/a> picks, as covered in the Atlanta Business Chronicle<\/a>.\u00a0 Joel’s ranking (LRMC stands for Logistic Regression Markov Chain) can be used to predict winners.\u00a0 They have a page for their tournament picks<\/a>.\u00a0 Some notable predictions:<\/p>\n

1) Their final 4 consists of 3 number 1’s (Kansas, Syracuse, and Duke) and one number 2 (West Virginia).\u00a0 The remaining number 1 is Kentucky, ranked only number 9 overall by LRMC.<\/p>\n

2)\u00a0 Kansas beating Duke is the predicted final game.<\/p>\n

3) 7th seeded BYU is ranked 4th overall, so makes the Elite Eight until knocked off by Syracuse (3).<\/p>\n

4) 12th seeded Utah State is predicted to beat 5th seeded Texas A&M and 4th seeded Purdue.<\/p>\n

5) 13th seeded Murray State over 4th seeded Vanderbilt is the biggest predicted first round upset.<\/p>\n

Let’s see how things turn out.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Normally I do a long post on operations research and predicting the NCAA tournament.\u00a0 I did so in 2009, 2008, 2007 and even in 2006 (when I think I made blog entries with an IBM selectric typewriter).\u00a0\u00a0 This year, I will cede the ground to Laura McLay of Punk Rock Operations Research, who has a … Continue reading “March Madness and Operations Research, 2010 Edition”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[39,51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1101","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-or-in-the-press","category-sports"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1101","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1101"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1101\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1101"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1101"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1101"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}