{"id":1103,"date":"2010-03-20T08:30:12","date_gmt":"2010-03-20T12:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/?p=1103"},"modified":"2010-03-20T08:30:12","modified_gmt":"2010-03-20T12:30:12","slug":"update-on-lrmc-after-first-round","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/2010\/03\/20\/update-on-lrmc-after-first-round\/","title":{"rendered":"Update on LRMC after first round"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sokol and teams&#8217; <a href=\"http:\/\/www2.isye.gatech.edu\/~jsokol\/lrmc\/about_lrmc.html\">Logistic Regression\/Markov Chain<\/a> approach had a pretty good first round in the <a href=\"http:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/?p=1101\">NCAA tournament<\/a>.\u00a0 It correctly picked 24 of the 32 games.\u00a0 On the plus side, it picked the following upsets (NCAA seeds in parens):<\/p>\n<p>Northern Iowa (9) over UNLV (8), Georgia Tech (10) over Oklahoma State (7), Murray State (13) over Vanderbilt (4), Old Dominion (11) over Notre Dame (6), St. Mary&#8217;s (10) over Richmond (7)<\/p>\n<p>It incorrectly predicted upsets<\/p>\n<p>San Diego State (11) over Tennessee (6), Florida State (9) over Gonzaga (8), Utah State (12) over Purdue (4)<\/p>\n<p>It missed the upsets<\/p>\n<p>Ohio (14) over Georgetown (3), Missouri (10) over Clemson (7), Washington (11) over Marquette (6), Cornell (12) over Temple (5), Wake Forest (9) over Texas (8)<\/p>\n<p>Overall, favorites (higher seeds) only won 22 of the 32 first round games, so in that sense LMRC is doing better than the Selection Committee&#8217;s rankings.\u00a0 3 of LRMC&#8217;s &#8220;Sweet Sixteen&#8221; have been eliminated but they are still fine for the round of eight on.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sokol and teams&#8217; Logistic Regression\/Markov Chain approach had a pretty good first round in the NCAA tournament.\u00a0 It correctly picked 24 of the 32 games.\u00a0 On the plus side, it picked the following upsets (NCAA seeds in parens): Northern Iowa (9) over UNLV (8), Georgia Tech (10) over Oklahoma State (7), Murray State (13) over &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/2010\/03\/20\/update-on-lrmc-after-first-round\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Update on LRMC after first round&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1103","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1103","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1103"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1103\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1103"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1103"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1103"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}