{"id":665,"date":"2009-05-09T18:20:39","date_gmt":"2009-05-09T22:20:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/?p=665"},"modified":"2009-05-09T18:20:39","modified_gmt":"2009-05-09T22:20:39","slug":"arnoff-lecture-by-keeney-having-children-and-decision-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/2009\/05\/09\/arnoff-lecture-by-keeney-having-children-and-decision-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Arnoff Lecture by Keeney, Having Children, and Decision Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last year around this time, I was giving the <a href=\"http:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/?p=286\">17th Arnoff Lecture<\/a> at the University of Cincinnati, which was a great thrill.  This year, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.business.uc.edu\/departments\/qaom\/arnoff\">Arnoff<\/a> Lecturer was Ralph Keeney who spoke on &#8220;Making Informed Business, Health, and Personal Decisions&#8221;.  Keeney was the author of an <a href=\"http:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/?p=513\">OR Forum Paper<\/a> on how personal decisions are a leading cause of death.  The organizers have put a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cba.uc.edu\/cf\/Spevents\/Arnoff050609\/index.html\">video of the lecture online<\/a>.  <\/p>\n<p>The Lecture contained a review of Ralph&#8217;s work on personal health decisions and his earlier work on placing a nuclear waste site.  The third topic was my favorite:  when should a woman decide to start a family?   Being an older parent (I am 49, with Alexander being 5 in a couple of weeks) it is interesting to see how such a decision analysis might be done.  Near as I can recall, this was a non-issue until I was 44 when Ilona told me I was about to be a father (at which point I watched &#8220;Finding Nemo&#8221; to see a possibly fatherly role I might have to take on).  Ilona might have a different view of the decision process, though I do not believe it involved explicit utility curves.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last year around this time, I was giving the 17th Arnoff Lecture at the University of Cincinnati, which was a great thrill. This year, the Arnoff Lecturer was Ralph Keeney who spoke on &#8220;Making Informed Business, Health, and Personal Decisions&#8221;. Keeney was the author of an OR Forum Paper on how personal decisions are a &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/2009\/05\/09\/arnoff-lecture-by-keeney-having-children-and-decision-analysis\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Arnoff Lecture by Keeney, Having Children, and Decision Analysis&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,55],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-665","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-decision-making","category-videos"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/665","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=665"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/665\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=665"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=665"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mat.tepper.cmu.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=665"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}